The Cleveland Indians have garnered a lot of publicity for that recent run of brilliance by their starting pitchers, and deservedly so. And when you put some wins together in dramatic fashion, respect can be granted in the betting marketplace, even when it is not deserved. Like here. Hidden in the recent Indian run is that this is a team with a lot of problems.

While the Cleveland starters were working so well, how many noticed that the offense continues to be a disaster (13 runs in the last five games), and that the bullpen has major issues? As bad as Joe Borowski was as a closer things have been perhaps even worse without him - they wanted Rafael Betancourt to take over that rule during Borowski's absence, but his ERA has ballooned to 7.31, and he had to be bailed out by Masahide Kobayashi in the 9th inning yesterday. Now they plan to turn to Kobayashi in the role, but he has had only one road appearance since April 24th, and in that one he only faced three batters at Yankee Stadium (allowing a home run in the process).

The bullpen will absolutely be needed behind Jeremy Sowers, and we doubt that they ever get to a closers situation. While Inter-League play often means a tough time for hitters reading pitchers that they have not seen before, the luck of the draw has Sowers going up against the Reds for the 4th time. The last three have been dismal - a 9.60 ERA over 15 innings, with Cincinnati batters knocking a pair of home runs in each of them. And while the Indians have managed to build a winning streak together with little offensive punch, the Reds bring in a 3-0 in which they scored 20 runs against what had been a hot Florida team, which means that Sowers is likely over-matched again.

After exploding onto the scene at the start of the season Johnny Cueto has fallen on hards times of late, but I like his stuff, and the corresponding price adjustments easily get us behind him here. This will be the first look for the Indians against his explosive stuff, and because of yesterday's rain-out it also means that the entire Cincinnati bullpen is rested and ready behind him. Their task is not all that difficult against a lineup with five starters batting .235 or less, and while Victor Martinez shows that .333 average, he has yet to hit a home run this season.