Nick

    Fantasy Football Monday

    Monday, September 22, 2008, 04:48 PM EST [General]

    Buy Low / Sell High

    Buy Low:
    Jason Campbell (WAS), Matt Hasselbeck (SEA), Carson Palmer (CIN), Matt Schaub (HOU)

    Campbell and Schaub aren't reliable Fantasy starters just yet, but their time is coming with so many other passers struggling and their receiving corps' underachieving. Hasselbeck is on bye this week and gets receivers Bobby Engram and Deion Branch back soon -- a huge plus for his numbers. An unsuspecting owner will give him away for next to nothing. As for Palmer, he can probably be had for cheap, and I don't see the Bengals being ahead of opponents much this season, meaning that he's going to have to throw.

    Ryan Grant (GB), Rudi Johnson (DET), Laurence Maroney (NE)
    Grant has underperformed this season, but he's done so against two solid run defenses over three games. We can't explain the effort at Detroit in Week 2, but eventually holes will open up for him as Aaron Rodgers continues to establish himself as a legitimate passing threat. Grant's numbers will get better, as will Johnson's, who gave the Lions' run game a spark that rookie Kevin Smith has failed to do. He's going to stick around so long as he's healthy. As for Maroney, his club will eventually have to rely on him to help prop up the offense. Don't trade the farm for him, but if a disgruntled owner is ready to punt on him, carrying him as a No. 3 back will pay dividends.

    Dwayne Bowe (KC), Santonio Holmes (PIT), T.J. Houshmandzadeh (CIN)
    Bowe's quarterback(s) stinks, but he's getting thrown at more now than he ever was before. Holmes has been missing in action through three games, and the Steelers will eventually rectify that, though that might not happen until Willie Parker cools off. As for Houshmandzadeh, the Bengals finally realized that by passing often to him, they could move the chains. Why they didn't do this in the first two weeks of the season baffles me, but any owner willing to "sell high" on Housh after his big Week 3 game is making a mistake.

     

    Sell High:
    Brian Griese (TB), J.T. O'Sullivan (SF)
    Griese's 407-yard effort against the Bears will never be seen again, though he'll have some 250-yard games left over if Antonio Bryant stays hot. As for O'Sullivan, his best games have come against a Seahawks defense playing on its heels and a Lions defense that's been awful. His receiving corps is hard to trust and the Niners' schedule gets tougher after their Week 4 game at New Orleans.

    R. Brown (MIA), Felix Jones (DAL), Julius Jones (SEA), Chris Perry (CIN), Ricky Williams (MIA)
    Brown's five-touchdown game against the Patriots gave him so much extra value in the last 24 hours that some running back-desperate owner will give up a throng of talent for him. And it might be worth it -- Brown's scored in every game this season and looks like he's pretty much recovered from last year's torn ACL. If you can get that throng, make the move. And Williams has FVBA (Fantasy value by association), so if you can dump him for a solid receiver or quarterback, it's worth doing since he's going to need Brown to miss time to be reliable for big yardage again. The other three running backs had solid Week 3 games, but Felix Jones' workload and production will always be a crapshoot, Perry's yardage production is poor and only helped by the sneaky touchdowns he's scored, and while Julius Jones has looked great, he's done so against two bad run defenses and will lose carries when Maurice Morris comes back.

    Antonio Bryant (SF), Torry Holt (STL), Santana Moss (WAS)
    Bryant led the NFL in targets in Week 2 with 18, and had the mammoth week that he had because the Buccaneers threw the ball about twice as much as they normally would. Unless Jon Gruden has an inexplicable change in offensive philosophy, Bryant won't get this many targets, or receiving yards, again in 2008. Same goes for Santana Moss, who has a three-game TD streak but hasn't been a consistent stat maven since 2005. I like the Redskins' offense, but if a good running back could be had for him, I'd take the running back. As for Holt, you're not really selling high with him if you trade him now, but we just don't see his game improving anytime soon. It's give up time.

     

    Stand for now:
    Derek Anderson (CLE), Marc Bulger (STL), Matt Cassel (NE)
    The problem with these quarterbacks is that you're not going to get anything for them in trade, so you might as well keep them on your bench as platoon quarterbacks and hope for a turn-around of some sort.

    Brandon Lloyd (CHI), Randy Moss (NE)
    Lloyd is worth the waiver-wire pickup as he's developed into the Bears' best receiver. Every Fantasy owner wants to know what to do with Moss, who is grossly underachieving amid a report by The NFL Today's Charley Casserly that the veteran is playing at a slower pace compared to years past. What obviously hurts Moss' game is that Matt Cassel is under center, and he's not putting up the type of numbers we'd like to see. What you'd get in trade for Moss right now would be unbearable to accept, so you might as well keep him on staff. Do not trade him away for nothing.

    Steven Jackson (STL), Jamal Lewis (CLE), Willis McGahee (BAL)
    Again, what are you going to get with these guys in trade? A hungry Fantasy owner might pony up for Jackson, but you've got to figure that he'll continue to be fed the ball since the Rams' offense can't do much of anything else. Lewis' play is awful for a number of reasons; the Browns need to turn around their offense before he'll be valuable. As for McGahee, it's looking more and more like he'll share the ball to a degree but has plenty of work, and stats, ahead of him this season.

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    Al Harris could miss time
    Harris (blood in urine) may have ruptured his spleen during Sunday's loss to the Cowboys and could miss the season, according to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.  Not having Harris would be a big blow to the Packers defense. Harris will get a second opinion, but things don't look to bright for him right now.

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    Donovon McNabb should be "fine"
    Coach Andy Reid expects McNabb (chest) to be ready to play Week 4 against the Bears, the Philadelphia Inquirer reports.  It sounds like McNabb and the offense will be without Brian Westbrook (ankle), so he may be asked to throw even more than usual as long as his health permits.

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    Sigh of relief for Westbroook owners
    An MRI Monday revealed no tears or structural damage to Westbrook's ankle, the Philadelphia Inquirer reports.  The team is calling the injury a strain and labeling his status as day-to-day. Eagles coach Andy Reid said that Westbrook is no longer using crutches to walk, though he does have a limp. It seems like a decision on Westbrook's availability may not come until Sunday, so make sure you have a contingency plan if he's unavailable. Correll Buckhalter will get the majority of carries out of the Philly backfield if Westbrook is on the shelf.

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    ATTENTION Jason Taylor Owners
    Taylor will be out for this coming weekend's game against Dallas after having blood released from his left calf muscle, the Washington Post reports.  "He'll be fine," according to coach Jim Zorn. "It's about healing now." That said, Zorn would not say whether Taylor would be back for Week 5's contest against Philadelphia.

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    If you have Kitna as your starter, get ready to find someone else
    Kitna suffered a sprained knee in Sunday's loss to San Francisco, the Detroit Free Press reports.  "It feels pretty bad right now," Kitna said after Sunday's game. "They say it doesn't feel like anything structural right now." He'll likely undergo further tests to just be certain there's no significant damage, while it seems as though the Lions might consider turning to second-year quarterback Drew Stanton rather than backup Dan Orlovsky if Kitna is going to miss any time.

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    Big Ben owners should also hurt yesterday
    Roethlisberger was sacked eight times. Not so good. But it wasn't the shoulder that got the worst of it. Apparently he injured his throwing hand (his right hand) in the fourth quarter on one of those sacks and left the game, no doubt having suffered enough abuse for one day. According to the Steelers' official Web site, coach Mike Tomlin indicated that X-rays were negative but acknowledged that Big Ben "got hit quite a bit." This week's practices will show the extent to which his hand has been affected, but at this point the team appears confident that he will be back next Monday. It's nice that he'll have an extra day of rest.

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    Hate to say I told ya so....
    If you've been following the blog this season, I've been preaching for months that Derek Anderson is at best, a decent quarterback and should not be used as a solid starter.  Yesterday's game was proof of that.  And those who chose to draft him anyway may not have to suffer the consquences.  The Cleveland Plain Dealer reports that Browns QB Derek Anderson knows his job is in danger after another poor performance in Week 3. "I'm not going to say I'm not (fighting for it), because I'm not playing good," Anderson said. "I've just got to keep playing. I'll continue to work and I'll come through it and be fine, but I've got to continue to get better." Coach Romeo Crennel made it clear Sunday that changes might have to be made. "I told the guys we're going to look at everybody in every position, and then we're going to do what we think is the best and try to improve this team," said Crennel.

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    Week 3 Fantasy Stars....excluding MNF

    Quarterbacks
    Player               Yds    TD    Int    FPTS

    J. O'Sullivan    189      2       0       22
    B. Griese         407      2       3       22
    K. Orton           268      2       2       22
    D. Brees          421      1      0        22

    Running Backs
    Player         RushYds     RecYds    TD    FPTS

    R. Brown              113                9       4      41
    M. Turner              104                0       3      28
    R. Bush                   73              75      2      24
    M. Lynch                  83              31       2     23

    Wide Receivers
    Player                       RushYds     RecYds    TD    FPTS
    B. Marshall                             6            155      1     21
    T. Houshmandzadeh         12            146      1     20
    B. Lloyd                                   6             124      1    20
    M. Austin                                 2             115      1    17

    Tight Ends
    Player                       RushYds     RecYds    TD    FPTS
    A. Fasano                              3              66        1     12
    J. Stevens                              5              61        1     12
    K. Boss                                  3               51       1      11
    D. Walker                               3              44        1     10

    Note: Antonio Gates plays tonight

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