Nick

    Fantasy Football Monday

    Monday, October 13, 2008, 04:01 PM EST [General]

    Romo out 4-6 weeks with broken pinky finger
    The Ft. Worth Star-Telegram reports that Cowboys QB Tony Romo has a broken pinkie and will be out for four weeks, suggesting that he'll be back after the club's Week 10 bye. Romo threw three touchdown passes for the third straight game on Sunday at Arizona, completing 24-of-38 passes for 321 yards with no interceptions and one fumble lost. Brad Johnson is expected to start in his place starting in Week 7 at St. Louis.  

    Romo's Fantasy owners obviously need to keep him benched, and going after Johnson is a very good idea. Johnson is not only a savvy veteran with a good knowledge of the Cowboys' offense, but he still has a decent arm and should be able to run the offense and put up close to 75 percent of the stats Romo has been delivering. He doesn't have Romo's mobility, though, and the fact that he's 40 isn't a plus. Nevertheless, we like Johnson as a quality waiver-wire pickup this week.

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    Mushin Muhammad questionable after Sunday
    Panthers coach John Fox said Muhammad (sprained knee) is considered to be day-to-day, the Charlotte Observer reports.  The Observer went on to speculate that Fox didn't think the injuries were serious, so you can expect Muhammad to be available against the Saints. That said, he'll probably be limited in practice for at least a day or two this week.

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    They swear....Colston will be ready for Week 7
    Colston (thumb) is "obviously on track to play" Week 7 against Carolina, the New Orleans Times-Picayune reports.  There was some word that Colston may be used in a limited capacity last week against Oakland, but he wound up being inactive for the game. He looks like a good bet to return this week, but the Saints will need to see how extensively he practices before giving him the green light against the Panthers.

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    Quick update on Tom Brady
    Patriots owner Robert Kraft said that Brady's surgery (to repair his torn ACL and MCL) went well and that the QB will return to Boston soon for rehab, the Boston Globe reports. "He's moving on to next year, and he's working hard, and thank goodness the surgery went well," Kraft said. "He'll be returning to Boston shortly and doing his rehab there." 

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    Kitna unsure if he'll return in week 7
    Lions QB Jon Kitna says he expects to play eventually this year, but doesn't know if he will this week at the Texans. Kitna told The Associated Press on Monday his back injury isn't that bad. Coach Rod Marinelli declined to answer questions about Kitna's health at his news conference. The 36-year-old Kitna started against the Chicago Bears on Oct. 5, but left the game with back spasms. Fourth-year pro Dan Orlovsky played in Sunday's 12-10 loss at Minnesota, snapping Kitna's starting streak at 36 games.

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    Week 6 Fantasy Leaders

    QB's

    Player Yds TD Int FPTS
    P. Rivers 306 3 0 30
    D. Brees 320 3 0 30
    T. Romo 321 3 0 28
    P. Manning 271 3 0 28

     

    RB's

    Player Rush Rec TD FPTS
    M. Jones-Drew 125 23 2 26
    C. Portis 129 14 2 25
    T. Jones 65 13 3 25
    P. Cobbs 0 138 2 25

     

    WR's

    Player Rec Yds TD FPTS
    A. Johnson 10 178 1 21
    M. Harrison 3 83 2 20
    B. Berrian 5 131 1 19
    V. Jackson 5 134 1 19

     

    TE's

    Player Rec Yds TD FPTS
    M. Lewis 3 64 1 12
    A. Smith 3 43 1 10
    M. Campbell 3 37 1 9
    A. Gates 4 35 1 9


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    Add 'Em
    Warrick Dunn, RB, Tampa Bay

    Owned: 56 percent of leagues
    Week 6: Had 22 carries for 115 yards against and caught three passes for 18 yards against Carolina.
    Analysis: Dunn continues to steal carries from starter Earnest Graham. Dunn had 16 carries in Week 4 against Green Bay and 11 carries in Week 5 against Denver and has rushed for 252 yards the past three games. Graham has 35 carries for 181 yards the past three games, but he scored two touchdowns. Graham volunteered to play fullback against the Panthers with Bryan Storer getting hurt, which gave Dunn more carries. If that continues, Dunn could be a useful No. 3 Fantasy running back, although Graham will still score the touchdowns.

    Devin Hester, WR, Chicago

    Owned: 53 percent of leagues
    Week 6: Caught six passes for 87 yards at Atlanta.
    Analysis: Hester appears to have figured out how to play wide receiver. He now has 14 catches for 180 yards and two touchdowns the past three games and has developed a solid rapport with Kyle Orton. As Orton continues to improve, so will Hester, so pick him up if you need help at receiver. He is running solid routes and has started making plays besides just running fly patterns. And in leagues where you get points for return yardage, Hester just keeps looking better and better.

    Brandon Stokley, WR, Denver
    Owned: 49 percent of leagues
    Week 6: Caught three passes for 29 yards and a touchdown against Jacksonville.
    Analysis: Stokley left the game against the Jaguars with a head injury after scoring the touchdown, so keep an eye on his status. But if he's healthy and Eddie Royal (ankle) and Tony Scheffler (ankle) remain out, Stokley will continue to be the No. 2 option for Jay Cutler behind Brandon Marshall. Stokley now has 16 catches for 161 yards and two touchdowns the past three games. He has a solid matchup in Week 7 at New England and should continue to play well if his head is OK.


    Avoid 'Em
    Patrick Cobbs, RB, Miami

    Owned: 0 percent of leagues
    Week 6: Had three catches for 138 yards and two touchdowns at Houston.
    Analysis: It was a nice game for Cobbs, who scored on the deep pass off the "Wildcat" formation and a screen pass. It won't happen again, and Cobbs is the No. 3 running back behind Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams. Look for Cobbs to play a role on a trick play again at some point this year, but don't consider adding him unless Brown and Williams get hurt and miss significant time.

    Vernon Davis, TE, San Francisco
    Owned: 43 percent of leagues
    Week 6: Had six catches for 75 yards against Philadelphia.
    Analysis: Davis went from a starting option before the season to being released in the majority of leagues. Don't consider adding him again at this point because he played well against a team that has struggled with tight ends all year. Prior to his game against the Eagles, Davis had five catches for 87 yards on the season and was being outplayed by backup Delanie Walker. For Davis to have any Fantasy value in the future he needs to leave San Francisco.

    Malcom Floyd, WR, San Diego

    Owned: 0 percent of leagues
    Week 6: Caught three passes for 75 yards and a touchdown against New England.
    Analysis: Floyd played well with Chris Chambers (ankle) out and has been good for a few red zone targets for the Chargers the past four years. But Floyd had no catches coming into this game, and even if Chambers is out for an extended amount of time, don't expect Floyd to play like this again. He didn't start for Chambers (Craig Davis did), and Vincent Jackson, Antonio Gates and LaDainian Tomlinson will continue to be the top targets for Philip Rivers.


    Others to monitor ...
    Donnie Avery, WR, St. Louis

    Owned: 4 percent of leagues
    Week 6: Had four catches for 73 yards at Washington.
    Analysis: Part of the offensive woes for the Rams has been finding a second receiver opposite Torry Holt. Avery has dealt with injuries to start his rookie season, but he appears healthy now. He has 10 catches for 119 yards the past three games, and the Rams have high hopes for Avery, which is why he was the first receiver taken in the 2008 NFL Draft. If he continues to play like this, add him and use him toward the end of the season.

    Ahman Green, RB, Houston
    Owned: 26 percent of leagues
    Week 6: Had eight carries for 41 yards and one catch for 2 yards against Miami.
    Analysis: Green continues to take carries away from Steve Slaton, who had 15 carries for 58 yards against the Dolphins. Green looks healthy the past two weeks against Miami and Indianapolis and has 20 carries for 88 yards over that span. Houston coach Gary Kubiak said Slaton will continue to start, but Green will share carries. And if Slaton hits the rookie wall at some point, Green could see more touches and increased Fantasy value.

    Marcedes Lewis, TE, Jacksonville
    Owned: 8 percent of leagues
    Week 6: Had three catches for 64 yards and a touchdown against Denver.
    Analysis: Lewis now has four catches for 88 yards and two touchdowns in his past two games. David Garrard is fond of Lewis, who remains one of the more consistent targets for the Jaguars given their problems at receiver. If Lewis can continue making plays like this, he would be a quality starting tight end in all leagues. Hopefully, Garrard will keep looking in Lewis' direction, and he will remain a red zone target.

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    Fantasy or Reality??
    CBS Sports

    Fantasy:  Jason Campbell is a legit Fantasy starter. I just got done picking apart one quarterback who had an easy matchup, so it's only fair to do the same to another. Campbell hasn't thrown a touchdown in two games after notching six in his previous four. One big reason: Santana Moss hasn't been making many grabs (two in Week 6, zero in Week 5). Another: pass protection has gone south. But in 26 career starts, Campbell has three 250-yard-plus games and eight games with two touchdowns (one with three touchdowns). It's safe to say that he's a complete quarterback except for the routine big stats. We'd say he's good in games with a great matchup, but he had that in Week 6 and bombed.

    Reality: Matt Ryan is the goods. Everyone will yap about how Ryan led the Falcons to a comeback win over the Bears thanks to one well-timed throw to the left sideline that left one second on the clock. The truth is that Ryan threw like that all game long. Between his talent (great field vision, nice accurate arm, nice deep ball throws) and the surprising talent around him (receivers Roddy White and Harry Douglas and a very, very, very underrated offensive line), we're going to see some good stuff from him sooner than later. He'll have some off games as a rookie, but all the chatter of him being Peyton Manning-esque sounded right on Sunday. He's got short-term potential as a No. 2 Fantasy quarterback.

    Fantasy: Marvin Harrison is washed up. Unless you lost because of the play, you can't deny that it was good to see Harrison beat Chris McAlister on a sideline route for a long touchdown in the first quarter of the Ravens-Colts matchup. Harrison's speed is still an issue, but the mere fact that he beat a proven corner with good speed is a sign that Harrison still warrants Fantasy consideration. And, it's a telling sign that Manning and the passing offense is getting close to their lofty expectations. Here's more proof: Manning was sacked once by a fierce Baltimore defense through the first three quarters when the Colts built their lead.

    Reality: Adrian Peterson's fumbles cost him a monster game. The bad news was that two fumbles in Lions territory (one deep) hurt Peterson's Fantasy owners even though the first-round running back rebounded with a 100-yard game in Week 6. The good news is that Peterson is a dedicated player who will work on that aspect of his game this week in practice. The better news is that he's averaging over 4.4 yards per carry in all but the game at New Orleans on Monday night. The best news is that he plays a Bears defense in Week 7 that he ran over for 302 yards and five touchdowns in two games last season.

    Fantasy: Warrick Dunn is an old third-down back who would be lucky to get 40 yards per game. Geez, that was the quietest 115 yards I've ever seen a running back rush for in a game. I suppose that's the byproduct of your team whitewashing the Panthers. I also suppose that it's the byproduct of having a power back block for you, as Earnest Graham did when the Bucs found themselves shorthanded at fullback. While it's incredible that Graham willingly gave up his stats to block for Dunn, I don't believe Fantasy owners get points for nice blocking. This move may have opened the door for Dunn to earn more playing time, giving him some value, but at the cost of Graham losing some value. At least he scored a touchdown.

    Reality: The Eagles' offense can be potent without Brian Westbrook. It helps that they played against the 49ers, but the Philadelphia offense was sparkling with star tailback Brian Westbrook sitting out with rib fractures. Donovan McNabb didn't need to shoulder the entire load, getting help from Correll Buckhalter, who totaled 178 yards and a score in a solid impersonation of Westbrook. Really, Buckhalter filling in for Westbrook right down to the versatility was what made the Eagles run smoothly. That, and a defense that really stepped up against the pass after some bad weeks.

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